The Sharp Plays Newsletter 2021 Week #17

Recap & Week Ahead – Another solid weekend in December as we close a great football season with a very strong December performance! Saturday was perfect for the paid content and Sunday only had one blemish…a Book Position on Denver going down. A win there…and a perfect weekend across the board from TSP Live Analytics! Can’t complain though as the overall content (free & paid) keeps delivering this month. I also cashed some SERIOUS pizza props this week. We will definitely have a Christmas feast of pizza this year and regardless of how the week ahead goes. Let’s keep it ALL going through to the Super Bowl and into March Madness!

The week ahead is one of my favorites. It is the fun of the NCAAF bowl games, NFL and really all sports we get from now through New Year’s Day. It’s such an exciting time because we have daytime bowls to occupy us as we enjoy the holiday season, along with the usual evening action…then throw in some fun with family and friends for the holidays…it just doesn’t get any better! I love March Madness but this run of sports for the final two weeks of December is my absolute favorite for a variety of reasons. Yes, I am very excited that it is here!

December subscriptions have been rolling along with solid content and are poised to cap off another great year with a solid month. January subscriptions will go live this time next week. There’s still plenty of content left to come in December though! Signup today at https://TSP.Live/tsp-live. Along with the usual calendar month subscriptions to cover December, there are now annual subscription options! Don’t forget if 30 days of content is too much of a commitment, 7 day packages for TSP Live Analytics are always available. TSP Live Analytics is a sports betting platform that is pumping out content on a DAILY basis for subscribers. TSP Live Analytics members have access to analytics & content such as the TSP Live Radar, Real-time LJP Scores, Real-time Book Needs, KB Consensus, Top Sharp Consensus, everyone’s new favorite the Oddsmaker’s Report and now Hermes (an automated bet advisor). On top of daily analytics access, TSP Live Analytics members also get access to TSP Live’s Daily Briefing every morning…which provides my exotics (teasers/parlays/rollovers) when I have one and the new Algorithm of the Day selection which has been a winner! Subscribers also receive exclusive weekend access to any Book Needs, Primary & Secondary Angles, along with any Sharp Consensus (Premium & Just Missed Premium Plays). It is truly the Sports Information Buffet…and you have a front row seat! For more details or to signup for TSP Live Analytics click here or visit TSP.Live/tsp-live.

Quality TSP content doesn’t end with sports either! The Financial Market Analytics (FMA) subscription is chugging along in it’s second year, another profitable one, returning a portfolio ROI of +10.1%! FMA access is part of the All-Inclusive subscriptions, or can be purchased as a separate subscription each month. To signup, visit TSP.Live/fma.

As always thank you for your support on the paid content! I do not take advertising. It is your paid content purchases that support everything I do at The Sharp Plays (free & paid), expands the content and technology utilized, and supports things important to me. I am continually grateful for your support!

Also, don’t forget about the TSP Telegram channels! There are three Telegram channels, with another one in the works. There is a TSP Sports Channel, a TSP Trading Channel and a TSP Twitter Clone Channel. For details on each of the channels and how to join them, simply visit https://thesharpplays.com/tsp-telegram-channel/.

Now let’s get into this week’s action…


Early Sharp Buys (5-9-1 for -4.9 units) – The Early Sharp Buy is still to come tonight on Seattle +6. It was postponed due to COVID. So, we don’t have those results yet and we have to move onto the week ahead. The early sharp buy for this week is on Miami +3 over New Orleans. I could see the reason here is likely due to overvalue from a high profile underdog upset on Sunday Night Football. Miami is nothing spectacular, but I could see them getting the job done here. I would definitely buy this up to 3.5 if I were to bet it. So, Dolphins +3.5 (-120) over New Orleans on Monday Night Football!


Early Algorithm Look (7-8-1 for -1.8 units) – The Early Algorithm Look was sitting pretty with the LA Chargers until OT…then it all went to hell! The Algorithm section of the TSP Newsletter could grind out a profit, but it needs a win this week. Where is the algorithm finding value? We go to the NCAAF Bowls and Western Michigan -7 over Nevada. The algorithm shows Western Michigan should be -11 in this contest. So, we get four points of value there. Let’s hope it is enough to set the stage for a do or die in the final week of the TSP Newsletter…will the algorithm section end profitably or negatively?? Let’s go Western Michigan! Game goes on Monday.


My Handicapping (11-5 +5.9 units) – Nice and easy winner from the Colts! Two more weeks to go, let’s get the 2-0 sweep to finish a great season for this section. No matter what happens the next two weeks, it does feel good to clinch a winning season for the “My Handicapping” section! To achieve my goal of a sweep though, I am going to go with Buffalo +2.5 over New England. The Patriots were FINALLY exposed against the Colts as their luck ran out. The Patriots were being crowned as the greatest team in the league because they were on a 7-0 SU and ATS run. Problem is, here are the teams they played…Jets, Chargers, Carolina, Cleveland, Atlanta, Tennessee, Buffalo. Of those 7 teams, the only quality opponents would be the Chargers, Tennessee and Buffalo. Of those three, the Chargers coaching is pathetic (which we saw in the OT loss to KC), Tennessee is vastly overrated especially without Henry and Buffalo lost to these Patriots in a wind storm. Point I am making is not that New England is bad, it’s that they are hardly Super Bowl contenders as everyone was all of a sudden making them out to be. New England did have a good run, but they were getting way too much credit for it. Buffalo also had a good run, but their value went in the tank weeks ago when they lost to Jacksonville and then Indianapolis, New England and Tampa. It was a tough run, but betting is like the stock market. Buy low and sell high. I sold the Patriots in this section last week and it worked out. I still see the Patriots as overvalued. I am buying the Bills here as I see them as slightly undervalued. So I have still heavily overvalued versus slightly undervalued. We’ll see if my value calculation pays off…Buffalo +2.5!


My Two Cents – As we approach Christmas, I just wanted to wish all of you and your families a VERY MERRY CHRISTMAS and a HAPPY HOLIDAYS!!! I hope you have a wonderful holiday weekend with family and friends. If you should find yourself alone this Christmas, I hope the content and the action out there can bring you some joy and profits this year! Nothing like a good winning parlay under the tree from Santa Claus!

The Christmas and the holiday season in general are a great time to be thankful for what you have, however little it may seem at times. No matter what is going on in your life, there is always someone who has it worse. It’s important to keep that perspective because too often we can get wrapped up in trivial issues that will be over before they even really start. The holiday week is a good time to think of those less fortunate and send some positive karma into the universe. Often after a great week there will be people who ask to provide me a tip or gratuity as thanks for the content delivered. I sincerely appreciate the sentiments. Instead, if you have a good week this week, the “My Two Cents” challenge will be to drop a donation to your favorite charity. It can be $5 or $5000…whatever works for you. If you grab a winner this week, maybe skim off a little of those profits and send it along to someone who would love nothing more than to have their biggest frustration of the week be the Bears pathetic offense. It’s just a small gesture, but a great way to give back, and a healthy way to pass the good karma around for all of us. We surely can never have enough! There are a lot of great local charities in your area. Be a mini-Santa Claus to them this week. I’ll do my best to bring the quality content to generate those profits for us all!

I know this is a busy week and you don’t have the time to read a thesis here from me. We have one more week to go with the TSP Newsletter. I thank all of you for hanging in there with me the whole season. It’s been a fun, wild, and thankfully a profitable ride! Here’s to finishing out the season in that very same fashion!

A final note, I hope the content will be a Santa Claus for you this week, but just a reminder that it is a holiday week. So, we have to be cautious about the propensity for these weeks to dramatically favor public and negative value bets. Typically, the public nature of Christmas week is usually centered on just Christmas Eve and Christmas Day action, albeit limited. However, just keep your eyes open and ears up to the possibility this week as you assess the games and the results!

That’ll close out this week’s newsletter for me! Thanks for giving the newsletter here a read today! Stay safe out there! I am always open to any feedback you may have. I might not listen to it, LOL, but I am open to it!  😉

Good luck in your action!
~ The Sharp Plays