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Over 80% of the wagers within the TSP Portfolio are delivered as paid content in the TSP Live Sports Subscription. Details on for the TSP Live Sports Subscription can be found at TSP.Live/register. The other 20% of wagers are either separate paid purchases (i.e. TSP Insiders) or posted free/publicly. Free/public wagers will be posted to Twitter/X (@TheSharpPlays) and those alerts also appear on the Twitter/X clone Telegram channel (t.me/+-ECIBmTplTg5NDAx).

The TSP Portfolio launched on January 1st, 2023. A list of every wager can be found in the content logs on The Sharp Plays “Records & Logs” page at TheSharpPlays.com/tsp-performance-log and in the website menu.

Most professional gamblers will assess their performance based on their “Risk ROI”. Essentially, what is the return you achieve for every $1 you put into action on whatever gambling endeavor you engage in? Whether it is poker, sports, blackjack, etc…whatever your risk ROI is will provide a clean assessment as to the quality of your play/strategy/skill.

So, what’s a good Risk ROI for sports? I asked the same question to ChatGPT and you can read the full response at TSP.Live/2024/11/11/are-you-a-pro/.

The key points from ChatGPT, which you can use to assess betting content are: (1) “a ‘good’ ROI for a professional sports bettor is typically in the range of 2% to 5%“, (2) “Anything above 5% is very rare and would typically indicate exceptional skill, an edge in a particular market, or an advantage in finding inefficiencies that the broader betting community hasn’t noticed. These bettors may use advanced models, statistical analysis, or have insider information to generate their edge.“

The best sharps around will have long term win percentages of 55% against the spread. So, here’s your wager ROI based on -110 pricing and the win percentages shown.

Win Percentage = ROI
52.38% is break-even at -110
53% = +1.18%
54% = +3.09%
55% = +5.00%
56% = +6.91%
57% = +8.82%

For more details on the TSP Portfolio, visit https://tsp.live/portfolios/.

The below information is based on the last logged wager in the content logs @ TheSharpPlays.com/tsp-performance-log

“ROI” stands for “Return on Investment”

The “Risk ROI” is the return on every dollar risked. So, for every $1 you wagered on TSP Portfolio action, your “Risk ROI” tells you how much of that dollar you will gain or lose. For example, a 5% “Risk ROI” means for every $1 risked on your action, you win $0.05.

The “Bankroll ROI” is simply the return on your bankroll. So, a Bankroll ROI of +50.0% means that someone with a $10,000 bankroll has gained $5,000 (50% of $10K) over the period being analyzed.

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