Topics for The Sharp Plays Articles are based on: discussions on Twitter, current news & events, your feedback or interests, as well as topics within the sports & betting communities. When I have an article, it will be posted on this page. I will also announce the article on Twitter and send a copy of the article to my mailing list (mailing list signup is on the right side of this page). If you have an idea for something you would like me to cover, please use the Contact link and send your thoughts! Thank you!

PINNED ARTICLES:

  • The Public Doesn’t Move Lines! Yes, They Do! September 15, 2020 5:00 pm EDT - The below commentary first appears in Week #3 of The Sharp Plays Football Newsletter. However, since it is a topic that comes up all the time, I thought I would give it a spot in…
  • Sharp Action Performance (Separate Fact from Fiction) August 20, 2020 1:55 pm EDT - Whenever sharp action gets cold, even if just for a few days at a time, the messages on Twitter are awesome! The exasperation in the messages can't help but make you laugh. Oh my God,…
  • A Study on the Little John Protocol & TSP Live June 3, 2020 4:05 pm EDT -   How It All Started, First Came Little John... The Human! Last May I decided to create a new algorithm. At the time my content had grown exponentially from what I posted the previous year.…
  • Designing an Algorithm (A Step by Step Guide) May 1, 2020 11:00 am EDT - Thanks for checking this out! I have held off writing an article on algorithm creation for a few reasons. The main reason is that algorithm design is not something that can be discussed in a…


ALL ARTICLES:

  • The Public Doesn’t Move Lines! Yes, They Do! September 15, 2020 5:00 pm EDT - The below commentary first appears in Week #3 of The Sharp Plays Football Newsletter. However, since it is a topic that comes up all the time, I thought I would give it a spot in…
  • Sharp Action Performance (Separate Fact from Fiction) August 20, 2020 1:55 pm EDT - Whenever sharp action gets cold, even if just for a few days at a time, the messages on Twitter are awesome! The exasperation in the messages can't help but make you laugh. Oh my God,…
  • 2020 Football Season (or perhaps only NFL season) Plans! August 17, 2020 10:05 am EDT - Yesterday I tweeted out that the first Sunday, 1pm ET kickoffs of NFL were essentially 27 days away. Obviously, it was a topic that generated a lot of emails and messages. The main topics of…
  • Summer Futures 2020 Edition (MLB, NBA, NHL) July 16, 2020 4:00 pm EDT - I remember years in the past where I was talking MLB futures in July, but I can honestly say, this is the first time I remember seriously breaking down NBA or NHL futures in the…
  • A Study on the Little John Protocol & TSP Live June 3, 2020 4:05 pm EDT -   How It All Started, First Came Little John... The Human! Last May I decided to create a new algorithm. At the time my content had grown exponentially from what I posted the previous year.…
  • Designing an Algorithm (A Step by Step Guide) May 1, 2020 11:00 am EDT - Thanks for checking this out! I have held off writing an article on algorithm creation for a few reasons. The main reason is that algorithm design is not something that can be discussed in a…
  • How Do You Bet a Public Market? February 11, 2020 1:36 pm EST - The hot topic the past few weeks is how well the public has been doing across all sports since about the middle of January. As I discussed on Twitter earlier today, I spoke to a…
  • “I have not failed. I’ve just found 10,000 ways that won’t work.” – Thomas A. Edison January 21, 2020 8:11 am EST - Thomas Edison, holder of 1,093 US patents and inventor of the light bulb, telegraph, phonograph, batteries, movie camera, and more. I know there are people out there who have never failed at anything (LOL). However,…
  • Key Numbers for NFL & NCAAF Spreads October 15, 2019 3:16 pm EDT - I was asked for a breakdown of key numbers in the NFL and for NCAA Football. Ask and you shall receive. Data is current to 2019... NCAA Football Margin of Victory Games % of Games…
  • Sports Betting Drawdowns by Pinnacle Sports October 14, 2019 9:48 am EDT - I am linking this article here to my website because I firmly believe people do not have a good appreciation for what to expect in gambling. People do not manage bankroll properly nor do they…
  • Sharp Betting Head Fakes – How Do They Work, What Are They? October 10, 2019 4:03 pm EDT - Last week there was a lot of demand for an article on head fakes. I was actually surprised a lot of people were not familiar with what it is and how it is used. So,…
  • NHL Regular Season Point Totals & Stanley Cup Analysis October 2, 2019 10:31 am EDT - Who remembers the above? Playing NHL '91 on the Sega Genesis! Seems like yesterday. Kids these days don't know real video game graphics. LOL! I'll wrap up the trip down memory lane and get right…
  • Managing Bankroll When You Are COLD!!! September 13, 2019 3:55 pm EDT - A few weeks ago I wrote an article about managing bankroll when you are running HOT! You can find the article at (this link). In that article I mention that in the weeks ahead I…
  • NFL Spread vs. ML Value Analysis September 11, 2019 10:02 am EDT -   I posted this to Twitter but I wanted to save it to the website so people could refer back to it throughout the season. The below figures include data for over 10 years for…
  • The Sports Information Buffet – TSP Content Changes & Updates September 9, 2019 11:20 am EDT -   We have all gone to a buffet when we were ravenously hungry. You get your plate, you go up to the buffet ready to eat and everything looks good to you. You grab some…
  • Bankroll Management When You’re ON FIRE!!! August 29, 2019 2:21 pm EDT - I preach bankroll management all the time. In my opinion, bankroll management is more important than the bets you make. Proper bankroll management, as followers saw over the past month, can have you turning a…
  • Home Run Derby! July 8, 2019 2:36 pm EDT - Let's see what we can do with the 2019 Home Run Derby. I'll use some advanced analytics in a recipe I created to calculate the win probability for each player in the Derby. First, I…
  • Parlays Aren’t Just For Suckers Anymore June 19, 2019 2:30 pm EDT - A friend passed this article along to me. Said he thought The Sharp Plays audience would enjoy the read. It was one of my favorite articles that he put together so I am happy to…
  • The Sharp Plays Index – Past, Present & Future June 17, 2019 4:28 pm EDT - When I started the index (link to the index is in the website menu or you can click here) it was met with a lot of reservation from those who follow me. I get it,…
  • Why Ticket/Money Percentages Don’t Tell The Whole Story June 6, 2019 9:32 am EDT - Last night for Game 3 between Toronto/Golden State I posted on Twitter that the sharp money was on Toronto and the public was on Golden St. When I posted I received a handful of comments…
  • Why Does The Price Have To Be Right?? June 5, 2019 7:55 am EDT - Often when I have a hot algorithm and a day comes up when there isn't a play, people ask for the "close" plays. People often incorrectly assume that algorithms pick winners and then weight those…
  • Classifying Sharp Action – The Meaning of “X” and “Y” Known Bettors April 19, 2019 8:43 am EDT - When I first started posting big bets (sharp and recreational) on Twitter in January, the goal was just to show a window inside the action that was going on offshore. Starting in early February and…
  • Public/Sharp Concentration – What The Hell Does It Mean?? March 22, 2019 9:08 am EDT - Often when people are assessing what game the public is on they look at ticket or money percentages provided by line services. Sometimes even the books themselves put out this data. The problem with figuring…
  • Algorithm Design Basis For Assessment Of The 1st Inning Yes/No Prop March 19, 2019 2:39 pm EDT - If you read my bio on the website you heard how I used to write programs on my TI-82 graphing calculator in high school. Those programs were my first algorithms. Since then I have written…
  • “Known” Bettors Win All The Time, Right??? March 19, 2019 1:49 pm EDT - I call these "articles" that I'll post on the website but they are more like very extended Twitter posts. I wish I had the time to write journal length articles but at present I do…
  • What’s Behind The “Known” Bettor Plays I Post? March 11, 2019 5:43 pm EDT - The most frequently asked questions I get revolve around what is behind the "known" bettor information I post. I thought why not make that my first article. I am sure there will be more articles…