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Category: The Sharp Plays

Don’t Take My Word For It…

February 7, 2023 TSP

💬 A Message That Hit Me Last week (February 1st, 2023), I asked for feedback on content ideas. Among the…

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Posted in: Pinned, The Sharp Plays

The Myth of 50/50: How Real Bookmakers Think About Betting Lines

January 24, 2023 TSP

🤔 “If the Book Has So Much Liability, Why Doesn’t the Line Reflect It?” This past NFL Divisional Playoff weekend…

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Posted in: The Sharp Plays

Setting Reasonable Profit Goals

January 5, 2023 TSP

Let’s cut through the hype and break down real expectations versus the bullshit floating around Twitter, TikTok, and toutville. 🎯…

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Posted in: The Sharp Plays

How Do Bookmakers Nail the Line So Often? It’s Not Magic — It’s Math

December 9, 2022 TSP

Originally published in the Telegram channel on December 9th, 2022… One of the most common questions I get is:“How the…

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Posted in: The Sharp Plays

Upside-Down Performance & How To Handle It

October 18, 2022 TSP

Originally published in the TSP Newsletter on October 18, 2022, this “My Two Cents” segment is now archived on TheSharpPlays.com…

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Posted in: The Sharp Plays

Why We Keep Betting on Bad Teams: The Value Game Explained

October 11, 2022 TSP

Originally published in the TSP Newsletter on October 11, 2022, this article breaks down one of the most frequently asked…

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Posted in: The Sharp Plays

Chasing the Dragon! (Not About Heroin)

September 22, 2022 TSP

⚠️ The Lethal Mistake Bettors Make Every Season: Trying to Avoid Losing As the football season kicks off, I need…

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Posted in: The Sharp Plays

What does +EV, 0EV and -EV mean?

September 7, 2022 TSP

Originally published on September 3, 2022, this article addresses a question that surfaces every season — especially when alerts go…

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Posted in: The Sharp Plays

Bankroll Management v2.0

September 1, 2022 TSP

Don’t forget to checkout TSP Live for high level sports betting information and content. Visit https://TSP.Live/tsp-live for more information! 💰…

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Posted in: Pinned, The Sharp Plays

The Truth About Sharp Action (and Why Most Bettors Get It Wrong)

February 23, 2022 TSP

Every day, I get a flood of messages asking:“Is there sharp action on this game?”The answer? Yes… almost always. But…

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